Chinese EV giant BYD is a buy — and not just for its cars, Bernstein says

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Introduction to BYD: A Leader in Electric Cars and Batteries

BYD, a Chinese automaker, has been making waves in the electric vehicle (EV) market, and its battery segment is often overlooked. According to Bernstein analysts, BYD is the second-largest battery manufacturer in the world, measured by electric vehicle installations, shipping 70% more batteries than the third-largest player. The company’s valuation appears compressed, and its battery assets are worth nearly as much as the entire company’s market valuation.

History and Development of BYD

BYD started as a maker of cellphone batteries in the 1990s and transitioned into automobiles. The company’s safety-focused “Blade” battery, launched in 2020, helped make BYD a leader in EV sales, finally beating Tesla last year. In September, BYD revealed a utility-grade energy storage system based on the Blade battery, which costs less to manufacture than other solutions.

BYD’s Battery Shipments and Growth

BYD’s battery shipments to energy storage systems more than doubled last year, while those to vehicle makers such as Xiaomi, Xpeng, and Toyota nearly tripled. Slightly more than half of BYD’s battery shipments went into the company’s own cars, helping the automaker save costs. Xiaomi and XPeng each accounted for 25% of BYD’s external EV battery shipments. In all, BYD’s total battery shipments grew by 47% last year and are expected to rise by 35% this year.

Partnerships and Market Value

Recently, the Wall Street Journal reported that Ford Motor is in talks to buy BYD batteries for some hybrid vehicles. BYD had no comment, and Ford stated that they talk to lots of companies about many things and don’t comment on rumors and speculation. In the past decade, BYD has risen significantly, and today Ford’s market value of $55 billion is less than half of BYD’s, at around $115 billion.

Market Outlook and Predictions

Despite fierce domestic competition and slowing sales, BYD’s battery segment alone could be worth $110 billion, according to Bernstein estimates. The analysts predict 10% growth in domestic vehicle sales this year to 5.4 million units, along with a 4.4% increase in overseas sales to 1.5 million units. China’s car market is expected to grow by just 1% this year, with new energy vehicles climbing by 15.2% and exports up by 4.3%.

Conclusion and Recommendations

Bernstein has a price target of 130 Hong Kong dollars ($16.67) on BYD, about 30% above where shares closed Friday. The analysts anticipate near-term catalysts from upcoming battery electric vehicle and battery technology upgrades alongside multiple product launches expected within the next month. BYD is slated to launch at least 10 new automotive models this year.

Smart Tip for Readers

When considering investing in electric vehicle companies, it’s essential to research and understand the company’s battery technology and partnerships, as these can significantly impact their growth and valuation. For more information on BYD and the EV market, visit Here

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