Higher fuel prices pinch budgets beyond the gas pump during Iran war

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Economic Consequences of the U.S.-Iran War: Impact on USPS, United Airlines, and Consumers

As the U.S.-Iran war enters its fifth week, consumers are facing economic consequences that impact everything from travel planning to mail delivery. The conflict has led to a surge in crude prices, with the blockage of the key Strait of Hormuz passageway depressing supply. Companies and other organizations are increasingly preparing for an environment in which the conflict evolves from an unexpected shock into a long-term challenge.

Many companies tie these adjustments to surging oil prices. Prices on the May contract for Brent — a global benchmark for oil prices — have surged more than 55% in March, on track for their biggest monthly gain on record going back to 1998. U.S. oil prices are up slightly less, logging a 49% increase month to date.

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Brent’s May contract in 2026

USPS and United Airlines Adjustments

The U.S. Postal Service said Wednesday that it was looking to slap a temporary 8% fuel surcharge on package and express mail deliveries. The tax, which needs regulatory approval, would begin in late April and last into early 2027, the USPS said. “This temporary price adjustment will provide needed flexibility for the Postal Service by helping to ensure that the actual costs of doing business are covered, as required by Congress,” the Postal Service said in its announcement.

United Airlines said it would cut back on running some lower-profit flights in the coming quarters as fuel costs jump, according to a memo from CEO Scott Kirby. Routes that take place midweek, Saturday and overnight are among those targeted. The Chicago-based air carrier is planning for oil to hit $175 a barrel and remain above the closely followed $100 mark through the end of next year.

Impact on Consumers and Businesses

Travelers should prepare to pay more for tickets as a result of higher fuel costs, Kirby told CNBC’s Phil LeBeau this week. Oil is the second-biggest expense for the company, behind labor, he said. “I think fares will continue to go up in line with oil prices,” Kirby said. “In any business, but certainly in airlines, you’ve got to pass through the costs of the inputs.”

Elevated oil prices can push up production costs for 3M products, CEO William Brown said at an industry conference earlier this month. He said the Command and Post-it parent could institute price hikes, similar to those implemented following President Donald Trump’s tariff policy rollout nearly a year ago.

Americans are growing less confident about the economy as they brace for higher inflation, according to data from the University of Michigan’s Surveys of Consumers released Friday. The headline index fell almost 6% in March to one of its lowest levels on record. “War worsens consumers’ feelings about the economy. This isn’t a shocking revelation,” said Elizabeth Renter, senior economist at financial education platform NerdWallet.

Conclusion and Further Reading

For more information on the economic consequences of the U.S.-Iran war, visit Here

Smart Tip for Readers

To mitigate the impact of rising fuel costs on your daily expenses, consider carpooling, using public transportation, or adjusting your travel plans to off-peak times when possible. This can help you save money and reduce your reliance on fuel-intensive activities.

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