What health policy experts say

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Debate Over ACA Subsidies Continues Amid Fraud Concerns

As lawmakers debate the extension of enhanced premium subsidies under the Affordable Care Act (ACA), Republicans have pointed to reports of fraud in the health insurance marketplace as a reason not to extend the tax break. Senate Majority Leader John Thune, a Republican from South Dakota, stated that the proposal to extend the ACA enhanced credits “is rampant — and I say rampant — with fraud and abuse.” However, health policy experts argue that the scope of the fraud is not as severe as lawmakers have suggested, and that improving the ACA’s security measures would be a better approach than cutting enhanced subsidies altogether.

A report from the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) found that in 2023, more than 58,000 Social Security numbers of deceased people received a premium subsidy, amounting to just 0.4% of all Social Security numbers that received a premium tax credit that year. Michael Gusmano, a professor of health policy at Lehigh University, noted that the raw numbers are misleading, as they represent a small share of overall subsidy recipients. “I don’t think they’ve uncovered massive fraud and abuse,” Gusmano said. “Some things look immediately like scary numbers if you ignore the denominator.”

ACA Subsidy Fraud: A Complex Issue

The GAO report outlined various channels of fraud involving ACA subsidies available through the federal marketplace, which is used by about 30 states. The report found that the federal marketplace approved all four fake applications submitted by the GAO in 2024, collectively amounting to $2,350 per month in premium subsidies paid directly to insurers. In 2025, the GAO submitted another 20 fictitious applications, and 18 of them were approved and still active as of September 2025, with combined premium subsidies paid to insurers of more than $10,000 per month.

Republicans have proposed a plan that would allow the enhanced ACA subsidies to expire, instead issuing payments of up to $1,500 to consumers with health savings accounts. However, Democrats argue that the negative financial consequences for households and impacts on public health of not extending the subsidies far outweigh the losses from fraud. The average subsidy recipient would see their out-of-pocket premium payments increase to about $1,900 in 2026 from nearly $900 in 2025 if enhanced subsidies disappear, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF).

Expert Insights on ACA Subsidy Fraud

Nick Fabrizio, a health policy expert and associate teaching professor at Cornell University’s Jeb E. Brooks School of Public Policy, suggested that the U.S. should extend the subsidies for 2026, but tie the extension to reforms to throttle back the scope of fraud in the federal marketplace and to put a lid on ballooning costs in the broader health-care system. “We’re in one of those situations where we have to extend the subsidies,” Fabrizio said. “We have no other choice. But we have to stabilize the system…. We have to meet somewhere in the middle.”

ACA subsidies likely to expire unabated, says Wolfe Research's Tobin Marcus

Gerard Anderson, a professor of health policy and management at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, noted that there is fraud in every insurance program, and that people will take advantage of it if there’s money to be made. Anderson suggested that the government should tweak some parameters of the ACA subsidy system, such as implementing a small premium for low-income ACA enrollees to reduce fraud.

Conclusion and Next Steps

The debate over ACA subsidies and fraud continues, with lawmakers and experts weighing in on the issue. As the discussion unfolds, it’s essential to consider the complexities of the issue and the potential consequences of different approaches. For more information on this topic, visit Here

Smart Tip for Readers

If you’re concerned about potential fraud in the ACA subsidy system, consider verifying your eligibility and application information carefully to ensure accuracy and avoid any potential issues. Additionally, staying informed about updates and changes to the ACA subsidy program can help you navigate the system effectively.

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